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Table 3 Potential contribution of different soil fertility management options to improving dietary Zn supply and reducing the number of DALYs lost due to ill-health

From: Good soil management can reduce dietary zinc deficiency in Zimbabwe

Parameter

Scenario 1 (baseline)

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Scenario 4

Scenario 5

Scenario 6

Dietary Zn supply (mg capita−1 day−1)

9.3

9.4

10.1

11.9

12.5

13.7

Dietary Zn deficiency (%)

67.7

66.7

55.2

30.9

25.1

16.7

DALYs lost due to Zn deficiency

12,092***

11,915

9854

5516

4486

2973

DALYs saved due to adoption of improved soil fertility management

n.a

177

2238

6576

7606

9119

Value of DALYs lost (DALYs lost * GDP1) (US$)

19,371,384

19,088,243

15,786,087

8,836,435

7,186,333

4,763,160

Health benefit2 (US$ year−1)

n.a

283,141

3,585,297

10,534,949

12,185,051

14,608,224

Maize yield annum−1 (% of baseline)

100

108

134

188

268

304

Value of maize yield (US$ ha−1)

436

470

585

819

1170

1326

Value of national maize production (US$ year−1)

588,867,073

633,617,969

789,625,750

1,104,960,402

1,578,514,860

1,788,983,508

Yield benefit (US$ year−1)

n.a

44,750,896

200,758,677

516,093,329

989,647,787

1,200,116,435

Net benefit from yield changes and DALYs burden (US$ year−1)

n.a

45,034,037

204,343,974

526,628,278

1,001,832,838

1,214,724,658

Scale of yield benefit vs health benefit (Ratio)

n.a

158

56

49

81

82

  1. ***Value obtained from the Global Health Data exchange (2017; http://ghdx.healthdata.org/)
  2. 1GDP is Gross Domestic Product. The GDP per capita used for Zimbabwe is US$1,602 (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=ZW for 2017)
  3. 2Health benefit implies reduction in disease burden due to Zn deficiency, calculated by monetizing each DALY saved. n.a = not applicable. Farmers practicing legume-cereal rotations were excluded from these calculations